Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 41.54%. A win for Partick Thistle had a probability of 33.47% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (6.67%). The likeliest Partick Thistle win was 0-1 (7.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Raith Rovers would win this match.
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