Arbroath
1 - 1
Inverness

Hamilton (45')
Hamilton (46')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Sutherland (48')
Duffy (67')

Data Analysis

Coverage of the Scottish Championship clash between Arbroath and Inverness Caledonian Thistle.

The Match

Match Report

Arbroath still struggling after Inverness force draw at Gayfield

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arbroath win with a probability of 38.59%. A win for Inverness Caledonian Thistle had a probability of 36% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arbroath win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.49%) and 2-0 (6.26%). The likeliest Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 0-1 (8.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood.

Result
Arbroath	Draw	Inverness Caledonian Thistle
38.59%	25.41%	36%

Both teams to score 56.23%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.4%

47.6%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.2%

69.8%

Arbroath Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.7%

24.3%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.33%

58.67%

Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.28%

25.72%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.35%

60.65%

Score Analysis

Arbroath 38.59%

Inverness Caledonian Thistle 36%

Draw 25.41%

Arbroath	Draw	Inverness Caledonian Thistle
1-0 @ 8.84% 2-1 @ 8.49% 2-0 @ 6.26% 3-1 @ 4.01% 3-0 @ 2.95% 3-2 @ 2.72% 4-1 @ 1.42% 4-0 @ 1.04% 4-2 @ 0.96% Other @ 1.9% Total : 38.59%	1-1 @ 12% 0-0 @ 6.25% 2-2 @ 5.77% 3-3 @ 1.23% Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.41%	0-1 @ 8.49% 1-2 @ 8.15% 0-2 @ 5.76% 1-3 @ 3.69% 2-3 @ 2.61% 0-3 @ 2.61% 1-4 @ 1.25% Other @ 3.44% Total : 36%