Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arbroath win with a probability of 38.59%. A win for Inverness Caledonian Thistle had a probability of 36% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arbroath win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.49%) and 2-0 (6.26%). The likeliest Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 0-1 (8.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood.
