Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 62.78%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 15.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.26%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.38%), while for a Greenock Morton win it was 0-1 (5.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.
