Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 47.57%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Hamilton Academical had a probability of 25.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.45%) and 1-2 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.68%), while for a Hamilton Academical win it was 1-0 (9.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kilmarnock would win this match.
