Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunfermline Athletic win with a probability of 36.81%. A win for Ayr United had a probability of 36.31% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dunfermline Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.08%) and 0-2 (6.44%). The likeliest Ayr United win was 1-0 (10.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.
