Ayr
1 - 1
Dunfermline

Miller (24')

FT(HT: 1-1)

McManus (12')

Data Analysis

The Match

Match Report

Ayr held at home by Dunfermline.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunfermline Athletic win with a probability of 36.81%. A win for Ayr United had a probability of 36.31% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dunfermline Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.08%) and 0-2 (6.44%). The likeliest Ayr United win was 1-0 (10.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.

Result
Ayr United	Draw	Dunfermline Athletic
36.31%	26.88%	36.81%

Both teams to score 51.32%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.14%

53.87%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.67%

75.33%

Ayr United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.49%

28.51%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.71%

64.29%

Dunfermline Athletic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.79%

28.21%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.09%

63.91%

Score Analysis

Ayr United 36.31%

Dunfermline Athletic 36.81%

Draw 26.87%

Ayr United	Draw	Dunfermline Athletic
1-0 @ 10.09% 2-1 @ 8.01% 2-0 @ 6.33% 3-1 @ 3.35% 3-0 @ 2.65% 3-2 @ 2.12% 4-1 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.7% Total : 36.31%	1-1 @ 12.77% 0-0 @ 8.05% 2-2 @ 5.07% Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.87%	0-1 @ 10.18% 1-2 @ 8.08% 0-2 @ 6.44% 1-3 @ 3.41% 0-3 @ 2.72% 2-3 @ 2.14% 1-4 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.77% Total : 36.81%