Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 53.82%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Queen of the South had a probability of 21.87%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.96%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.56%), while for a Queen of the South win it was 0-1 (6.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.