Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 37.62%. A win for Queen of the South had a probability of 37.41% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.2%) and 0-2 (5.87%). The likeliest Queen of the South win was 2-1 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.
