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Scottish Championship | Gameweek 25
Feb 5, 2022 at 3pm UK
Somerset Park
DA

Ayr
1 - 1
Dunfermline

Martin (17' og.)
McGinty (32'), Dempsey (39'), Murdoch (79')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Donaldson (10')
Chalmers (46'), Pybus (54'), Donaldson (68')
Coverage of the Scottish Championship clash between Ayr United and Dunfermline Athletic.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 38.83%. A win for Dunfermline Athletic had a probability of 31.96% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.74%) and 2-0 (7.58%). The likeliest Dunfermline Athletic win was 0-1 (11.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.

Result
Ayr UnitedDrawDunfermline Athletic
38.83%29.21%31.96%
Both teams to score 43.88%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.17%62.83%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.65%82.35%
Ayr United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.57%31.43%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.2%67.8%
Dunfermline Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64%36%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.21%72.78%
Score Analysis
    Ayr United 38.82%
    Dunfermline Athletic 31.95%
    Draw 29.2%
Ayr UnitedDrawDunfermline Athletic
1-0 @ 13.09%
2-1 @ 7.74%
2-0 @ 7.58%
3-1 @ 2.99%
3-0 @ 2.93%
3-2 @ 1.53%
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 38.82%
1-1 @ 13.37%
0-0 @ 11.31%
2-2 @ 3.96%
Other @ 0.56%
Total : 29.2%
0-1 @ 11.55%
1-2 @ 6.83%
0-2 @ 5.9%
1-3 @ 2.33%
0-3 @ 2.01%
2-3 @ 1.35%
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 31.95%

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