Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamilton Academical win with a probability of 47.06%. A win for Ayr United had a probability of 26.94% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamilton Academical win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.18%) and 2-0 (8.68%). The likeliest Ayr United win was 0-1 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.
