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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arbroath win with a probability of 38.07%. A win for Dundee United had a probability of 34.75% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arbroath win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.18%) and 2-0 (6.82%). The likeliest Dundee United win was 0-1 (10.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Arbroath | Draw | Dundee United |
38.07% ( 0.83) | 27.17% ( 0.19) | 34.75% ( -1.02) |
| Both teams to score 50.26% ( -0.68) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.85% ( -0.82) | 55.14% ( 0.82) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.61% ( -0.68) | 76.39% ( 0.68) |
| Arbroath Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.91% ( 0.1) | 28.09% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.24% ( 0.12) | 63.75% ( -0.12) |
| Dundee United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.89% ( -1.04) | 30.1% ( 1.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.75% ( -1.27) | 66.24% ( 1.27) |
| Score Analysis |
| Arbroath | Draw | Dundee United |
| 1-0 @ 10.73% ( 0.36) 2-1 @ 8.18% ( 0.07)2-0 @ 6.82% ( 0.25)3-1 @ 3.46% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 2.89% ( 0.11)3-2 @ 2.08% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.1% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 0.92% ( 0.04)Other @ 1.89% Total : 38.06% | 1-1 @ 12.89% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 8.46% ( 0.26)2-2 @ 4.91% ( -0.1)Other @ 0.92% Total : 27.17% | 0-1 @ 10.15% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 7.74% ( -0.18)0-2 @ 6.09% ( -0.16)1-3 @ 3.1% ( -0.17)0-3 @ 2.44% ( -0.14)2-3 @ 1.97% ( -0.1)1-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.08)Other @ 2.34% Total : 34.75% |
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