Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee United win with a probability of 66.12%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Inverness Caledonian Thistle had a probability of 14.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundee United win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.75%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.3%), while for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win it was 0-1 (4.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.
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