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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee United win with a probability of 43.9%. A win for Inverness Caledonian Thistle had a probability of 29.31% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundee United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.82%) and 0-2 (8.14%). The likeliest Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 1-0 (9.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Dundee United in this match.
| Result | ||
| Inverness Caledonian Thistle | Draw | Dundee United |
29.31% ( -0.2) | 26.8% ( 0.07) | 43.9% ( 0.13) |
| Both teams to score 49.64% ( -0.31) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.89% ( -0.35) | 55.11% ( 0.35) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.64% ( -0.29) | 76.36% ( 0.29) |
| Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.14% ( -0.33) | 33.86% ( 0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.47% ( -0.36) | 70.53% ( 0.36) |
| Dundee United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.06% ( -0.09) | 24.94% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.42% ( -0.13) | 59.58% ( 0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Inverness Caledonian Thistle | Draw | Dundee United |
| 1-0 @ 9.15% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 6.88% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 4.95% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 2.48% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 1.79% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 1.72% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.34% Total : 29.31% | 1-1 @ 12.7% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 8.45% ( 0.11)2-2 @ 4.78% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.88% Total : 26.8% | 0-1 @ 11.72% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 8.82% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 8.14% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 4.08% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 3.77% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.21% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 1.42% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.31% ( 0)Other @ 2.42% Total : 43.89% |
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