Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee win with a probability of 66.3%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 13.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundee win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.55%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.63%), while for an Alloa Athletic win it was 0-1 (4.81%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dundee would win this match.
