Inverness
3 - 1
Arbroath

Mackay (47'), Allardice (71'), Todorov (78')
McKay (62')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Doolan (24')

Data Analysis

The Match

Match Report

Both teams came into the match without a win in their first two Scottish Championship games.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win with a probability of 56.53%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Arbroath had a probability of 19.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.61%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.24%), while for an Arbroath win it was 0-1 (6.51%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Inverness Caledonian Thistle would win this match.

Result
Inverness Caledonian Thistle	Draw	Arbroath
56.53%	23.67%	19.79%

Both teams to score 49.34%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.27%

50.73%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.37%

72.63%

Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.24%

17.76%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.55%

48.45%

Arbroath Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.99%

40%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.34%

76.66%

Score Analysis

Inverness Caledonian Thistle 56.53%

Arbroath 19.79%

Draw 23.66%

Inverness Caledonian Thistle	Draw	Arbroath
1-0 @ 12.27% 2-0 @ 10.61% 2-1 @ 9.72% 3-0 @ 6.11% 3-1 @ 5.6% 4-0 @ 2.64% 3-2 @ 2.57% 4-1 @ 2.42% 4-2 @ 1.11% 5-0 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.56% Total : 56.53%	1-1 @ 11.24% 0-0 @ 7.1% 2-2 @ 4.45% Other @ 0.87% Total : 23.66%	0-1 @ 6.51% 1-2 @ 5.15% 0-2 @ 2.98% 1-3 @ 1.57% 2-3 @ 1.36% 0-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.3% Total : 19.79%