Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Mirren win with a probability of 44.56%. A win for Arbroath had a probability of 27.79% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.7%) and 2-1 (8.63%). The likeliest Arbroath win was 0-1 (9.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.
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