SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Arbroath | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Ayr United | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Cove Rangers | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arbroath win with a probability of 74.03%. A draw had a probability of 17.1% and a win for Cowdenbeath had a probability of 8.83%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arbroath win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.07%) and 3-0 (10.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.05%), while for a Cowdenbeath win it was 0-1 (3.63%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arbroath would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Arbroath | Draw | Cowdenbeath |
74.03% ( 0.09) | 17.14% ( -0.08) | 8.83% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 40.93% ( 0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.75% ( 0.33) | 46.25% ( -0.32) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.46% ( 0.31) | 68.55% ( -0.3) |
| Arbroath Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.07% ( 0.11) | 10.93% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.88% ( 0.24) | 35.12% ( -0.24) |
| Cowdenbeath Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 45.95% ( 0.2) | 54.05% ( -0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 12.69% ( 0.12) | 87.31% ( -0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Arbroath | Draw | Cowdenbeath |
| 2-0 @ 14.47% ( -0.07) 1-0 @ 13.07% ( -0.12)3-0 @ 10.68% 2-1 @ 8.91% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 6.57% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 5.91% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 3.64% ( 0.04)5-0 @ 2.62% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.02% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 1.61% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.12% ( 0.02)6-0 @ 0.97% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.44% Total : 74.02% | 1-1 @ 8.05% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.91% ( -0.08)2-2 @ 2.74% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.45% Total : 17.14% | 0-1 @ 3.63% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 2.48% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 1.12% ( -0)Other @ 1.6% Total : 8.83% |
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