Morton
2 - 2
Inverness

McGinty (3'), Blues (66')
Omar (19'), Oliver (74')
Omar (28')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Sutherland (4'), Mackay (15')

Build‑up

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win with a probability of 43.94%. A win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 31.27% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.11%) and 0-2 (7.12%). The likeliest Greenock Morton win was 1-0 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.

Result
Greenock Morton	Draw	Inverness Caledonian Thistle
31.27%	24.8%	43.94%

Both teams to score 57.01%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54%

46%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.69%

68.31%

Greenock Morton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.16%

27.84%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.57%

63.43%

Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.01%

21%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.23%

53.77%

Score Analysis

Greenock Morton 31.27%

Inverness Caledonian Thistle 43.94%

Draw 24.79%

Greenock Morton	Draw	Inverness Caledonian Thistle
1-0 @ 7.47% 2-1 @ 7.46% 2-0 @ 4.78% 3-1 @ 3.18% 3-2 @ 2.48% 3-0 @ 2.04% 4-1 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.84% Total : 31.27%	1-1 @ 11.66% 0-0 @ 5.84% 2-2 @ 5.82% 3-3 @ 1.29% Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.79%	0-1 @ 9.12% 1-2 @ 9.11% 0-2 @ 7.12% 1-3 @ 4.74% 0-3 @ 3.7% 2-3 @ 3.03% 1-4 @ 1.85% 0-4 @ 1.45% 2-4 @ 1.18% Other @ 2.64% Total : 43.94%