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Scottish Championship | Gameweek 11
Jan 2, 2021 at 7.20pm UK
Dens Park
HL

Dundee
3 - 1
Hearts

McGhee (14'), Mullen (36'), Afolabi (84' pen.)
Byrne (2'), Adam (76')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Irving (56')
Irving (80'), (83')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 37.91%. A win for Dundee had a probability of 35.53% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.28%) and 0-2 (6.57%). The likeliest Dundee win was 1-0 (9.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.

Result
DundeeDrawHearts
35.53%26.56%37.91%
Both teams to score 52.3%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.39%52.61%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.74%74.26%
Dundee Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.62%28.38%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.88%64.12%
Hearts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.02%26.98%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.68%62.32%
Score Analysis
    Dundee 35.53%
    Hearts 37.91%
    Draw 26.56%
DundeeDrawHearts
1-0 @ 9.64%
2-1 @ 7.96%
2-0 @ 6.07%
3-1 @ 3.34%
3-0 @ 2.55%
3-2 @ 2.19%
4-1 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 35.53%
1-1 @ 12.63%
0-0 @ 7.66%
2-2 @ 5.21%
3-3 @ 0.96%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.56%
0-1 @ 10.03%
1-2 @ 8.28%
0-2 @ 6.57%
1-3 @ 3.61%
0-3 @ 2.87%
2-3 @ 2.28%
1-4 @ 1.18%
0-4 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 37.91%

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