SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee win with a probability of 50.1%. A win for Queen's Park had a probability of 27.09% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundee win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.99%) and 2-0 (7.34%). The likeliest Queen's Park win was 1-2 (6.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.37%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dundee would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dundee | Draw | Queen's Park |
50.1% ( -0.29) | 22.81% ( -0.11) | 27.09% ( 0.41) |
| Both teams to score 61.11% ( 0.77) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.63% ( 0.86) | 39.37% ( -0.86) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.29% ( 0.89) | 61.71% ( -0.88) |
| Dundee Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.07% ( 0.21) | 15.93% ( -0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.81% ( 0.38) | 45.19% ( -0.38) |
| Queen's Park Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.68% ( 0.74) | 27.32% ( -0.74) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.24% ( 0.95) | 62.77% ( -0.95) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dundee | Draw | Queen's Park |
| 2-1 @ 9.53% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 7.99% ( -0.26)2-0 @ 7.34% ( -0.19)3-1 @ 5.83% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 4.5% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 3.79% ( 0.09)4-1 @ 2.68% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 2.07% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.74% ( 0.05)5-1 @ 0.99% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.65% Total : 50.1% | 1-1 @ 10.37% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 6.18% ( 0.1)0-0 @ 4.35% ( -0.18)3-3 @ 1.64% ( 0.07)Other @ 0.27% Total : 22.81% | 1-2 @ 6.73% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 5.65% ( -0.11)0-2 @ 3.66% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.91% ( 0.09)2-3 @ 2.67% ( 0.1)0-3 @ 1.59% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.94% Total : 27.09% |
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