SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee win with a probability of 43.67%. A win for Dunfermline Athletic had a probability of 30.34% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundee win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.96%) and 2-0 (7.7%). The likeliest Dunfermline Athletic win was 0-1 (8.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dundee would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dundee | Draw | Dunfermline Athletic |
43.67% ( 1.02) | 25.98% ( -0.74) | 30.34% ( -0.29) |
| Both teams to score 52.66% ( 2.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.54% ( 2.85) | 51.46% ( -2.86) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.73% ( 2.43) | 73.27% ( -2.44) |
| Dundee Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.56% ( 1.77) | 23.44% ( -1.77) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.55% ( 2.5) | 57.45% ( -2.51) |
| Dunfermline Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.79% ( 1.26) | 31.21% ( -1.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.45% ( 1.45) | 67.55% ( -1.45) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dundee | Draw | Dunfermline Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 10.61% ( -0.67) 2-1 @ 8.96% ( 0.22)2-0 @ 7.7% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 4.33% ( 0.32)3-0 @ 3.72% ( 0.15)3-2 @ 2.52% ( 0.27)4-1 @ 1.57% ( 0.19)4-0 @ 1.35% ( 0.12)4-2 @ 0.92% ( 0.14)Other @ 1.98% Total : 43.67% | 1-1 @ 12.35% ( -0.33) 0-0 @ 7.32% ( -0.87)2-2 @ 5.22% ( 0.3)3-3 @ 0.98% ( 0.13)Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.97% | 0-1 @ 8.52% ( -0.69) 1-2 @ 7.2% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 4.96% ( -0.22)1-3 @ 2.79% ( 0.12)2-3 @ 2.03% ( 0.18)0-3 @ 1.93% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.92% Total : 30.34% |
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