SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee win with a probability of 41.15%. A win for Ayr United had a probability of 32.67% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundee win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.7%) and 0-2 (7.16%). The likeliest Ayr United win was 1-0 (8.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dundee would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ayr United | Draw | Dundee |
32.67% ( -0.2) | 26.18% ( 0.12) | 41.15% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 52.96% ( -0.45) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.49% ( -0.55) | 51.51% ( 0.55) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.69% ( -0.48) | 73.31% ( 0.48) |
| Ayr United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.35% ( -0.41) | 29.65% ( 0.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.31% ( -0.5) | 65.69% ( 0.5) |
| Dundee Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.28% ( -0.2) | 24.72% ( 0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.73% ( -0.29) | 59.27% ( 0.29) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ayr United | Draw | Dundee |
| 1-0 @ 8.91% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 7.57% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 5.42% ( -0)3-1 @ 3.07% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 2.2% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.14% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 0.93% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.43% Total : 32.67% | 1-1 @ 12.45% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 7.33% ( 0.16)2-2 @ 5.29% ( -0.07)3-3 @ 1% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.18% | 0-1 @ 10.24% ( 0.17) 1-2 @ 8.7% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 7.16% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 4.05% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 3.33% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.46% ( -0.05)1-4 @ 1.42% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1.17% ( -0)Other @ 2.62% Total : 41.15% |
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