SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arbroath win with a probability of 48.42%. A win for Queen's Park had a probability of 27.14% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arbroath win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.48%) and 2-0 (8.12%). The likeliest Queen's Park win was 0-1 (7.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Arbroath | Draw | Queen's Park |
48.42% ( 0.1) | 24.43% ( -0.03) | 27.14% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 55.56% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.29% ( 0.05) | 46.71% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.02% ( 0.05) | 68.97% ( -0.05) |
| Arbroath Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.64% ( 0.06) | 19.36% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.85% ( 0.1) | 51.14% ( -0.1) |
| Queen's Park Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.89% ( -0.03) | 31.1% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.57% ( -0.03) | 67.43% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Arbroath | Draw | Queen's Park |
| 1-0 @ 9.89% ( -0) 2-1 @ 9.48% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 8.12% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.19% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 4.44% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.03% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.13% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.82% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.24% ( 0)Other @ 3.08% Total : 48.42% | 1-1 @ 11.54% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.02% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.54% 3-3 @ 1.18% ( 0)Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.43% | 0-1 @ 7.03% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 6.74% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.11% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.62% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.16% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.89% Total : 27.14% |
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