SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Airdrieonians win with a probability of 52.61%. A win for Hamilton Academical had a probability of 24.21% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Airdrieonians win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.49%) and 2-0 (8.52%). The likeliest Hamilton Academical win was 1-2 (6.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Airdrieonians would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Airdrieonians | Draw | Hamilton Academical |
52.61% ( -0.46) | 23.18% ( 0.15) | 24.21% ( 0.31) |
| Both teams to score 56.86% ( -0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.34% ( -0.37) | 43.66% ( 0.37) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.95% ( -0.36) | 66.05% ( 0.37) |
| Airdrieonians Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.4% ( -0.3) | 16.6% ( 0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.59% ( -0.54) | 46.41% ( 0.54) |
| Hamilton Academical Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.18% ( 0.06) | 31.82% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.74% ( 0.07) | 68.26% ( -0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Airdrieonians | Draw | Hamilton Academical |
| 2-1 @ 9.75% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 9.49% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 8.52% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 5.84% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 5.1% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 3.34% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 2.62% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 2.29% ( -0.06)4-2 @ 1.5% ( -0.03)5-1 @ 0.94% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.23% Total : 52.61% | 1-1 @ 10.86% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 5.58% ( -0)0-0 @ 5.28% ( 0.09)3-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.18% Total : 23.18% | 1-2 @ 6.22% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 6.05% ( 0.11)0-2 @ 3.46% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 2.37% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.13% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.32% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.66% Total : 24.21% |
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