Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Airdrieonians win with a probability of 53.67%. A win for Dumbarton had a probability of 24.75% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Airdrieonians win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.32%) and 1-0 (7.28%). The likeliest Dumbarton win was 1-2 (6.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Airdrieonians would win this match.
-0)
0)
