Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 45.66%. A draw had a probability of 28.4% and a win for Dunfermline Athletic had a probability of 25.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.33%) and 1-2 (8.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.97%), while for a Dunfermline Athletic win it was 1-0 (10%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.
