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Scottish Championship | Gameweek 14
Jan 23, 2021 at 3pm UK
Palmerston Park
GM

QotS
2 - 1
Morton

Obileye (15'), Fitzpatrick (27')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Orsi (58')
Strapp (60'), Ledger (81')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen of the South win with a probability of 40.55%. A win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 33.97% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Queen of the South win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.72%) and 2-0 (6.7%). The likeliest Greenock Morton win was 0-1 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Queen of the South would win this match.

Result
Queen of the SouthDrawGreenock Morton
40.55%25.49%33.97%
Both teams to score 55.63%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.78%48.22%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.62%70.37%
Queen of the South Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.43%23.57%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.37%57.63%
Greenock Morton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.79%27.21%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.37%62.63%
Score Analysis
    Queen of the South 40.55%
    Greenock Morton 33.97%
    Draw 25.48%
Queen of the SouthDrawGreenock Morton
1-0 @ 9.27%
2-1 @ 8.72%
2-0 @ 6.7%
3-1 @ 4.2%
3-0 @ 3.23%
3-2 @ 2.73%
4-1 @ 1.52%
4-0 @ 1.17%
4-2 @ 0.99%
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 40.55%
1-1 @ 12.06%
0-0 @ 6.41%
2-2 @ 5.67%
3-3 @ 1.19%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.48%
0-1 @ 8.35%
1-2 @ 7.85%
0-2 @ 5.43%
1-3 @ 3.41%
2-3 @ 2.46%
0-3 @ 2.36%
1-4 @ 1.11%
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 33.97%

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