Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 47.29%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 25.76%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.25%) and 2-1 (8.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.64%), while for a Greenock Morton win it was 0-1 (8.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.
