Ayr
1 - 1
Morton

McCowan (38')
Murdoch (78')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Nesbitt (26' pen.)

Data Analysis

The Match

Match Report

Ayr recover to force draw with Morton at Somerset Park.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 47.29%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 25.76%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.25%) and 2-1 (8.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.64%), while for a Greenock Morton win it was 0-1 (8.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.

Result
Ayr United	Draw	Greenock Morton
47.29%	26.95%	25.76%

Both teams to score 46.85%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.45%

57.55%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.67%

78.33%

Ayr United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.64%

24.37%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.23%

58.77%

Greenock Morton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.94%

38.07%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.17%

74.83%

Score Analysis

Ayr United 47.29%

Greenock Morton 25.76%

Draw 26.94%

Ayr United	Draw	Greenock Morton
1-0 @ 13.09% 2-0 @ 9.25% 2-1 @ 8.93% 3-0 @ 4.35% 3-1 @ 4.2% 3-2 @ 2.03% 4-0 @ 1.54% 4-1 @ 1.48% Other @ 2.42% Total : 47.29%	1-1 @ 12.64% 0-0 @ 9.28% 2-2 @ 4.31% Other @ 0.71% Total : 26.94%	0-1 @ 8.96% 1-2 @ 6.11% 0-2 @ 4.33% 1-3 @ 1.97% 0-3 @ 1.39% 2-3 @ 1.39% Other @ 1.61% Total : 25.76%