Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamilton Academical win with a probability of 43.4%. A win for Dunfermline Athletic had a probability of 30.15% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamilton Academical win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (7.85%). The likeliest Dunfermline Athletic win was 0-1 (8.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Hamilton Academical in this match.
