Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win with a probability of 57.43%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Dunfermline Athletic had a probability of 18.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.2%), while for a Dunfermline Athletic win it was 0-1 (6.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
