Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunfermline Athletic win with a probability of 44.38%. A draw had a probability of 28.1% and a win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 27.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dunfermline Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.83%) and 2-1 (8.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.02%), while for a Greenock Morton win it was 0-1 (10.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.
