Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamilton Academical win with a probability of 40.29%. A win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 33.37% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamilton Academical win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.59%) and 2-0 (7.02%). The likeliest Greenock Morton win was 0-1 (9.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.
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