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Scottish Championship | Gameweek 27
Apr 30, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Caledonian Stadium
AU

Inverness
2 - 2
Ayr

Mackay (6'), Welsh (47' pen.)
Carson (39'), Welsh (87'), MacGregor (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Muirhead (39' pen.), Todd (67')
Miller (27'), Houston (65')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win with a probability of 45.91%. A win for Ayr United had a probability of 28.37% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.17%) and 2-0 (8.18%). The likeliest Ayr United win was 0-1 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.

Result
Inverness Caledonian ThistleDrawAyr United
45.91%25.72%28.37%
Both teams to score 52.37%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.68%51.32%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.85%73.15%
Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.67%22.33%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.2%55.81%
Ayr United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.42%32.58%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.88%69.12%
Score Analysis
    Inverness Caledonian Thistle 45.9%
    Ayr United 28.37%
    Draw 25.72%
Inverness Caledonian ThistleDrawAyr United
1-0 @ 10.9%
2-1 @ 9.17%
2-0 @ 8.18%
3-1 @ 4.58%
3-0 @ 4.09%
3-2 @ 2.57%
4-1 @ 1.72%
4-0 @ 1.53%
4-2 @ 0.96%
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 45.9%
1-1 @ 12.23%
0-0 @ 7.27%
2-2 @ 5.14%
3-3 @ 0.96%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.72%
0-1 @ 8.16%
1-2 @ 6.86%
0-2 @ 4.58%
1-3 @ 2.56%
2-3 @ 1.92%
0-3 @ 1.71%
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 28.37%

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