Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win with a probability of 45.91%. A win for Ayr United had a probability of 28.37% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.17%) and 2-0 (8.18%). The likeliest Ayr United win was 0-1 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
