SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Partick Thistle win with a probability of 49.03%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Arbroath had a probability of 25.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Partick Thistle win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.35%) and 2-0 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.13%), while for an Arbroath win it was 0-1 (7.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Partick Thistle would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Partick Thistle | Draw | Arbroath |
49.03% ( -0.1) | 25.52% ( 0.05) | 25.44% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 50.67% ( -0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.56% ( -0.15) | 52.43% ( 0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.89% ( -0.13) | 74.11% ( 0.13) |
| Partick Thistle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.6% ( -0.1) | 21.4% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.6% ( -0.16) | 54.39% ( 0.16) |
| Arbroath Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.47% ( -0.04) | 35.53% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.7% ( -0.04) | 72.29% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Partick Thistle | Draw | Arbroath |
| 1-0 @ 11.72% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.35% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 9.04% ( -0)3-1 @ 4.81% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 4.64% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.49% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.85% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.79% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 0.96% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.38% Total : 49.03% | 1-1 @ 12.13% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.6% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 4.84% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.95% Total : 25.52% | 0-1 @ 7.87% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 6.28% ( 0)0-2 @ 4.07% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.17% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.67% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.4% ( 0)Other @ 1.99% Total : 25.44% |
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