Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Partick Thistle win with a probability of 43.01%. A win for Arbroath had a probability of 29.97% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Partick Thistle win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.7%) and 2-0 (7.99%). The likeliest Arbroath win was 0-1 (9.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Partick Thistle would win this match.

Result
Partick Thistle	Draw	Arbroath
43.01% ( 0.47)	27.01% ( -0.2)	29.97% ( -0.26)

Both teams to score 49.34% (

0.48)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.34% (

0.67)

55.66% (

-0.67)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.19% (

0.54)

76.81% (

-0.54)

Partick Thistle Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.36% (

0.55)

25.63% (

-0.55)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.47% (

0.74)

60.53% (

-0.74)

Arbroath Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.35% (

0.15)

33.65% (

-0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.7% (

0.16)

70.3% (

-0.16)

Score Analysis

Partick Thistle 43.01%

Arbroath 29.98%

Draw 27%

Partick Thistle	Draw	Arbroath
1-0 @ 11.74% ( -0.11) 2-1 @ 8.7% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 7.99% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 3.95% ( 0.1) 3-0 @ 3.63% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 2.15% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 1.34% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 1.23% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.27% Total : 43.01%	1-1 @ 12.78% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 8.63% ( -0.22) 2-2 @ 4.74% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.86% Total : 27%	0-1 @ 9.4% ( -0.2) 1-2 @ 6.97% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.12% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 2.53% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.86% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.72% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.39% Total : 29.98%