SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win with a probability of 37.07%. A win for Arbroath had a probability of 35.93% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.09%) and 2-0 (6.54%). The likeliest Arbroath win was 0-1 (10.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Inverness Caledonian Thistle would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Inverness Caledonian Thistle | Draw | Arbroath |
37.07% ( 1.73) | 27% ( 0.26) | 35.93% ( -1.99) |
| Both teams to score 50.9% ( -0.8) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.62% ( -1.02) | 54.38% ( 1.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.24% ( -0.86) | 75.76% ( 0.86) |
| Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.69% ( 0.55) | 28.31% ( -0.55) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.96% ( 0.69) | 64.03% ( -0.69) |
| Arbroath Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71% ( -1.67) | 29% ( 1.67) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.1% ( -2.11) | 64.89% ( 2.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Inverness Caledonian Thistle | Draw | Arbroath |
| 1-0 @ 10.35% ( 0.55) 2-1 @ 8.09% ( 0.19)2-0 @ 6.54% ( 0.45)3-1 @ 3.4% ( 0.13)3-0 @ 2.75% ( 0.23)3-2 @ 2.11% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.07% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.75% Total : 37.06% | 1-1 @ 12.82% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 8.21% ( 0.32)2-2 @ 5.01% ( -0.11)Other @ 0.96% Total : 27% | 0-1 @ 10.16% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 7.94% ( -0.31)0-2 @ 6.29% ( -0.35)1-3 @ 3.28% ( -0.29)0-3 @ 2.6% ( -0.27)2-3 @ 2.07% ( -0.15)1-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.14)Other @ 2.58% Total : 35.92% |
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