SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen's Park win with a probability of 39.42%. A win for Arbroath had a probability of 33.99% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queen's Park win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.45%) and 2-0 (6.92%). The likeliest Arbroath win was 0-1 (9.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Queen's Park | Draw | Arbroath |
39.42% ( -0.22) | 26.59% ( 0.14) | 33.99% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 52% ( -0.44) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.11% ( -0.57) | 52.88% ( 0.57) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.5% ( -0.49) | 74.49% ( 0.48) |
| Queen's Park Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.73% ( -0.38) | 26.27% ( 0.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.61% ( -0.51) | 61.38% ( 0.51) |
| Arbroath Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.53% ( -0.23) | 29.47% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.53% ( -0.28) | 65.47% ( 0.28) |
| Score Analysis |
| Queen's Park | Draw | Arbroath |
| 1-0 @ 10.34% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 8.45% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 6.92% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.77% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 3.08% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.3% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 1.26% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 1.03% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.26% Total : 39.41% | 1-1 @ 12.64% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 7.74% ( 0.17)2-2 @ 5.16% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.58% | 0-1 @ 9.46% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 7.73% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 5.78% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 3.15% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.35% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.1% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.47% Total : 33.99% |
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