SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 41.96%. A win for Arbroath had a probability of 32.3% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.84%) and 0-2 (7.15%). The likeliest Arbroath win was 1-0 (8.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Arbroath | Draw | Ayr United |
32.3% ( 0.01) | 25.74% ( 0) | 41.96% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 54.29% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.26% ( -0.01) | 49.74% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.25% ( -0.01) | 71.75% ( 0.02) |
| Arbroath Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.99% ( 0) | 29.01% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.09% ( -0) | 64.91% ( 0.01) |
| Ayr United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.47% ( -0.01) | 23.53% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.43% ( -0.01) | 57.57% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Arbroath | Draw | Ayr United |
| 1-0 @ 8.45% ( 0) 2-1 @ 7.56% ( 0)2-0 @ 5.23% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.12% 3-2 @ 2.26% 3-0 @ 2.16% ( 0)4-1 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.57% Total : 32.3% | 1-1 @ 12.22% 0-0 @ 6.82% ( 0)2-2 @ 5.47% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.09% ( -0)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.74% | 0-1 @ 9.88% ( 0) 1-2 @ 8.84% ( -0)0-2 @ 7.15% 1-3 @ 4.27% ( -0)0-3 @ 3.45% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.64% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.54% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.25% ( -0)2-4 @ 0.96% ( -0)Other @ 2% Total : 41.96% |
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