Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen of the South win with a probability of 38.18%. A win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 35.35% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queen of the South win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.33%) and 0-2 (6.59%). The likeliest Greenock Morton win was 1-0 (9.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.
