Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win with a probability of 45.62%. A win for Queen of the South had a probability of 27.85% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.98%) and 0-2 (8.52%). The likeliest Queen of the South win was 1-0 (8.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Inverness Caledonian Thistle would win this match.
