SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen's Park win with a probability of 38.34%. A win for Raith Rovers had a probability of 34.16% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queen's Park win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.15%) and 2-0 (6.98%). The likeliest Raith Rovers win was 0-1 (10.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Queen's Park in this match.
| Result | ||
| Queen's Park | Draw | Raith Rovers |
38.34% ( 0.05) | 27.5% ( 0.02) | 34.16% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 49.18% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.53% ( -0.1) | 56.47% ( 0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.53% ( -0.08) | 77.47% ( 0.08) |
| Queen's Park Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.43% ( -0.02) | 28.57% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.64% ( -0.02) | 64.36% ( 0.02) |
| Raith Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.85% ( -0.1) | 31.15% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.52% ( -0.12) | 67.48% ( 0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Queen's Park | Draw | Raith Rovers |
| 1-0 @ 11.15% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 8.15% ( 0)2-0 @ 6.98% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 3.4% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.92% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.98% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.07% ( -0)4-0 @ 0.91% ( 0)Other @ 1.78% Total : 38.34% | 1-1 @ 13% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.9% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 4.75% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.85% Total : 27.5% | 0-1 @ 10.38% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.58% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 6.05% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.95% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.35% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.85% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.99% Total : 34.16% |
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