Scottish Championship | Gameweek 8

Sep 17, 2022 at 3pm UK

Stark's Park

Raith Rovers
3 - 2
Ayr

Connell (8'), Stanton (35'), Brown (83')
Connell (39'), Nolan (45+2')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Young (51'), Murdoch (69')
Akinyemi (53'), Reading (54'), Murdoch (80')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Scottish Championship clash between Raith Rovers and Ayr United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 48.11%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Ayr United had a probability of 25.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.18%) and 2-0 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.38%), while for an Ayr United win it was 0-1 (8.35%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Raith Rovers would win this match.

Result
Raith Rovers	Draw	Ayr United
48.11% ( 0.11)	26.14% ( 0.08)	25.75% ( -0.2)

Both teams to score 49.12% (

-0.39)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.41% (

-0.43)

54.59% (

0.43)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.07% (

-0.36)

75.93% (

0.35)

Raith Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.29% (

-0.13)

22.7% (

0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.63% (

-0.19)

56.36% (

0.19)

Ayr United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.55% (

-0.4)

36.44% (

0.39)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.77% (

-0.41)

73.23% (

0.4)

Score Analysis

Raith Rovers 48.11%

Ayr United 25.75%

Draw 26.13%

Raith Rovers	Draw	Ayr United
1-0 @ 12.26% ( 0.15) 2-1 @ 9.18% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 9.09% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 4.54% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 4.49% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.29% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.68% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.67% ( 0) Other @ 2.91% Total : 48.11%	1-1 @ 12.38% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 8.27% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 4.63% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.85% Total : 26.13%	0-1 @ 8.35% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 6.25% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 4.22% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.1% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.56% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.85% Total : 25.75%