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Scottish Championship | Gameweek 15
Feb 6, 2021 at 3pm UK
Cappielow Park, Sinclair Street, Greenock
RR

Morton
0 - 1
Raith Rovers


Omar (90')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Davidson (12')
Tumilty (89'), Armstrong (90+1'), Abraham (90+1'), Kennedy (90+2')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 38.73%. A win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 35.68% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.5%) and 0-2 (6.36%). The likeliest Greenock Morton win was 1-0 (8.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Raith Rovers in this match.

Result
Greenock MortonDrawRaith Rovers
35.68%25.59%38.73%
Both teams to score 55.59%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.59%48.41%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.45%70.55%
Greenock Morton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.71%26.29%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.59%61.41%
Raith Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.41%24.59%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.92%59.08%
Score Analysis
    Greenock Morton 35.68%
    Raith Rovers 38.73%
    Draw 25.58%
Greenock MortonDrawRaith Rovers
1-0 @ 8.64%
2-1 @ 8.09%
2-0 @ 5.77%
3-1 @ 3.61%
3-0 @ 2.57%
3-2 @ 2.53%
4-1 @ 1.2%
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 35.68%
1-1 @ 12.11%
0-0 @ 6.46%
2-2 @ 5.68%
3-3 @ 1.18%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.58%
0-1 @ 9.07%
1-2 @ 8.5%
0-2 @ 6.36%
1-3 @ 3.98%
0-3 @ 2.98%
2-3 @ 2.66%
1-4 @ 1.39%
0-4 @ 1.04%
2-4 @ 0.93%
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 38.73%

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