SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 50.04%. A win for Ayr United had a probability of 26.01% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.6%) and 2-0 (8.27%). The likeliest Ayr United win was 0-1 (6.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Raith Rovers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Raith Rovers | Draw | Ayr United |
50.04% ( -0.01) | 23.96% ( 0) | 26.01% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 56.15% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.53% ( -0.01) | 45.47% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.2% ( -0.01) | 67.8% ( 0.01) |
| Raith Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.77% ( -0.01) | 18.23% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.73% ( -0.01) | 49.27% ( 0.01) |
| Ayr United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.67% ( -0) | 31.33% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.31% ( -0) | 67.69% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Raith Rovers | Draw | Ayr United |
| 1-0 @ 9.72% ( 0) 2-1 @ 9.6% ( -0)2-0 @ 8.27% ( -0)3-1 @ 5.45% ( -0)3-0 @ 4.69% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.16% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.32% ( -0)4-0 @ 2% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.35% ( -0)Other @ 3.48% Total : 50.04% | 1-1 @ 11.28% 0-0 @ 5.71% ( 0)2-2 @ 5.57% 3-3 @ 1.22% Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.95% | 0-1 @ 6.63% ( 0) 1-2 @ 6.55% ( 0)0-2 @ 3.85% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.53% 2-3 @ 2.16% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.49% Other @ 2.8% Total : 26.01% |
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