Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 37.99%. A win for Raith Rovers had a probability of 35.72% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.33%) and 2-0 (6.49%). The likeliest Raith Rovers win was 0-1 (9.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.
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