SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee United win with a probability of 56.4%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Raith Rovers had a probability of 20.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundee United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.01%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.98%), while for a Raith Rovers win it was 0-1 (6.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dundee United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dundee United | Draw | Raith Rovers |
56.4% ( 0.4) | 23.11% ( -0.16) | 20.49% ( -0.24) |
| Both teams to score 52.13% ( 0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.44% ( 0.35) | 47.56% ( -0.35) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.24% ( 0.32) | 69.76% ( -0.32) |
| Dundee United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.34% ( 0.27) | 16.66% ( -0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.48% ( 0.47) | 46.52% ( -0.47) |
| Raith Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.55% ( -0.04) | 37.44% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.77% ( -0.04) | 74.23% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dundee United | Draw | Raith Rovers |
| 1-0 @ 11.18% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 10.01% ( 0.02)2-1 @ 9.84% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 5.99% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 5.88% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 2.89% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 2.68% ( 0.06)4-1 @ 2.63% ( 0.05)4-2 @ 1.29% ( 0.02)5-0 @ 0.96% ( 0.03)5-1 @ 0.94% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.09% Total : 56.39% | 1-1 @ 10.98% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 6.24% ( -0.09)2-2 @ 4.83% ( 0)3-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.11% | 0-1 @ 6.13% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 5.39% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 3.01% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 1.77% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.58% ( -0)0-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.62% Total : 20.49% |
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