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D
Scottish Cup | Fourth Round
Jan 20, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
The C&G Systems Stadium
RL

Dumbarton
1 - 4
Rangers

Shiels (88')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Lundstram (35'), Dessers (41'), Tavernier (78' pen.), Wright (89')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bonnyrigg Rose 1-1 Dumbarton
Saturday, January 13 at 3pm in Scottish League Two
Last Game: Rangers 3-1 Kilmarnock
Tuesday, January 2 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: Dumbarton 0-3 Rangers

While a break may lead to some rustiness from Rangers, the likelihood of Clement selecting a strong side decreases the chances of an upset. Although we expect Dumbarton to have their moments, Rangers should still ultimately cruise to victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rangers win with a probability of 75.48%. A draw had a probability of 15% and a win for Dumbarton had a probability of 9.51%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rangers win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (9.58%) and 1-2 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.99%), while for a Dumbarton win it was 2-1 (2.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rangers would win this match.

Result
DumbartonDrawRangers
9.51%15%75.48%
Both teams to score 51.77%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.33%33.67%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.5%55.49%
Dumbarton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.95%44.05%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.83%80.17%
Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.54%7.46%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
73.18%26.81%
Score Analysis
    Dumbarton 9.51%
    Rangers 75.47%
    Draw 15%
DumbartonDrawRangers
2-1 @ 2.87%
1-0 @ 2.69%
2-0 @ 1.1%
3-2 @ 1.02%
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 9.51%
1-1 @ 6.99%
2-2 @ 3.72%
0-0 @ 3.29%
Other @ 1.01%
Total : 15%
0-2 @ 11.06%
0-3 @ 9.58%
1-2 @ 9.08%
0-1 @ 8.53%
1-3 @ 7.85%
0-4 @ 6.22%
1-4 @ 5.1%
0-5 @ 3.23%
2-3 @ 3.22%
1-5 @ 2.65%
2-4 @ 2.09%
0-6 @ 1.4%
1-6 @ 1.15%
2-5 @ 1.09%
Other @ 3.26%
Total : 75.47%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Bonnyrigg Rose 1-1 Dumbarton
Saturday, January 13 at 3pm in Scottish League Two
Last Game: Peterhead 3-1 Dumbarton
Tuesday, January 9 at 7.45pm in Scottish League Two
Last Game: Dumbarton 1-2 East Fife
Saturday, January 6 at 3pm in Scottish League Two
Last Game: Dumbarton 4-4 Clyde
Saturday, December 23 at 3pm in Scottish League Two
Last Game: Forfar 2-4 Dumbarton
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in Scottish League Two
Last Game: Dumbarton 0-1 Stenhousemuir
Saturday, December 9 at 3pm in Scottish League Two
Last Game: Rangers 3-1 Kilmarnock
Tuesday, January 2 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Celtic 2-1 Rangers
Saturday, December 30 at 12.30pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Motherwell 0-2 Rangers
Sunday, December 24 at 12pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Rangers 2-0 St Johnstone
Wednesday, December 20 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Rangers 1-0 Aberdeen
Sunday, December 17 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup
Last Game: Betis 2-3 Rangers
Thursday, December 14 at 8pm in Europa League


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