SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dumbarton win with a probability of 43.01%. A win for Peterhead had a probability of 32.43% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dumbarton win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.6%) and 0-2 (6.76%). The likeliest Peterhead win was 2-1 (7.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.46%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Peterhead | Draw | Dumbarton |
32.43% ( -4.63) | 24.55% ( -0.02) | 43.01% ( 4.66) |
| Both teams to score 58.37% ( -0.93) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.54% ( -0.79) | 44.45% ( 0.79) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.17% ( -0.77) | 66.82% ( 0.77) |
| Peterhead Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.66% ( -3.01) | 26.33% ( 3.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.53% ( -4.2) | 61.47% ( 4.2) |
| Dumbarton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.23% ( 1.89) | 20.76% ( -1.89) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.59% ( 2.89) | 53.4% ( -2.89) |
| Score Analysis |
| Peterhead | Draw | Dumbarton |
| 2-1 @ 7.65% ( -0.66) 1-0 @ 7.3% ( -0.4)2-0 @ 4.87% ( -0.73)3-1 @ 3.4% ( -0.63)3-2 @ 2.68% ( -0.32)3-0 @ 2.17% ( -0.55)4-1 @ 1.14% ( -0.33)Other @ 3.24% Total : 32.43% | 1-1 @ 11.46% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 6.01% ( -0.16)0-0 @ 5.47% ( 0.18)3-3 @ 1.4% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.54% | 1-2 @ 9.01% ( 0.54) 0-1 @ 8.6% ( 0.75)0-2 @ 6.76% ( 0.93)1-3 @ 4.72% ( 0.53)0-3 @ 3.54% ( 0.66)2-3 @ 3.15% ( 0.1)1-4 @ 1.86% ( 0.3)0-4 @ 1.39% ( 0.32)2-4 @ 1.24% ( 0.1)Other @ 2.75% Total : 43.01% |
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