SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dumbarton win with a probability of 39.47%. A win for Stenhousemuir had a probability of 34.45% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dumbarton win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.53%) and 2-0 (6.73%). The likeliest Stenhousemuir win was 0-1 (9.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Dumbarton | Draw | Stenhousemuir |
39.47% ( -0.84) | 26.08% ( 0.07) | 34.45% ( 0.77) |
| Both teams to score 53.73% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.29% ( -0.16) | 50.71% ( 0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.39% ( -0.14) | 72.61% ( 0.14) |
| Dumbarton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.76% ( -0.51) | 25.24% ( 0.51) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.01% ( -0.71) | 59.99% ( 0.71) |
| Stenhousemuir Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.88% ( 0.4) | 28.12% ( -0.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.2% ( 0.51) | 63.8% ( -0.51) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dumbarton | Draw | Stenhousemuir |
| 1-0 @ 9.77% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 8.53% ( -0.1)2-0 @ 6.73% ( -0.16)3-1 @ 3.92% ( -0.11)3-0 @ 3.09% ( -0.12)3-2 @ 2.48% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.35% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 1.06% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.54% Total : 39.47% | 1-1 @ 12.39% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.1% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 5.41% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.05% ( -0)Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.07% | 0-1 @ 9.01% ( 0.16) 1-2 @ 7.86% ( 0.11)0-2 @ 5.71% ( 0.16)1-3 @ 3.33% ( 0.08)0-3 @ 2.42% ( 0.1)2-3 @ 2.29% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.06% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.78% Total : 34.45% |
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