SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hibernian win with a probability of 52.59%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Aberdeen had a probability of 23.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hibernian win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.73%) and 2-0 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.22%), while for an Aberdeen win it was 0-1 (6.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hibernian would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hibernian | Draw | Aberdeen |
52.59% ( -0.3) | 23.71% ( 0.05) | 23.69% ( 0.25) |
| Both teams to score 54.5% ( 0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.49% ( 0.03) | 46.51% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.21% ( 0.03) | 68.79% ( -0.03) |
| Hibernian Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.35% ( -0.1) | 17.65% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.73% ( -0.17) | 48.27% ( 0.18) |
| Aberdeen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.18% ( 0.24) | 33.82% ( -0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.52% ( 0.26) | 70.48% ( -0.25) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hibernian | Draw | Aberdeen |
| 1-0 @ 10.35% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 9.73% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 8.98% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 5.63% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 5.19% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 3.05% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.44% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 2.25% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.32% ( -0)Other @ 3.65% Total : 52.59% | 1-1 @ 11.22% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 5.97% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.28% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.1% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.14% Total : 23.71% | 0-1 @ 6.47% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 6.09% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 3.51% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 2.2% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 1.91% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.27% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.25% Total : 23.69% |
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