SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stenhousemuir win with a probability of 47.79%. A win for Forfar Athletic had a probability of 26.68% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stenhousemuir win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 2-0 (8.63%). The likeliest Forfar Athletic win was 0-1 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stenhousemuir would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Stenhousemuir | Draw | Forfar Athletic |
47.79% ( 0.08) | 25.53% ( 0) | 26.68% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 51.72% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.42% ( -0.07) | 51.58% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.63% ( -0.06) | 73.37% ( 0.06) |
| Stenhousemuir Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.4% ( 0) | 21.59% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.31% ( 0) | 54.69% ( -0.01) |
| Forfar Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.96% ( -0.1) | 34.04% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.28% ( -0.11) | 70.72% ( 0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Stenhousemuir | Draw | Forfar Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 11.26% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.31% ( 0)2-0 @ 8.63% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 4.75% ( 0)3-0 @ 4.41% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.56% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.82% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.69% ( 0)4-2 @ 0.98% ( -0)Other @ 2.36% Total : 47.78% | 1-1 @ 12.14% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.35% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 5.01% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.52% | 0-1 @ 7.92% 1-2 @ 6.54% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 4.27% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.35% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.8% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.27% Total : 26.68% |
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